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Above 8510, Nifty may test 8550-8600: Arihant Capital

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 31 Maret 2015 | 10.54

According to Arihant Capital, in coming trading session if Nifty for first hour trade above 8510 level then it can test 8550 – 8600 levels. On the downside, 8450 – 8380 may act as support for the day.

Arihant Capital's market outlook:

Pattern Formation: On the daily chart, we are observing that prices have taken
support at the upward gap area of 8236 to 8380 (formed on January 15, 2015) and have
formed a bull candle.

Outlook: In view of the above pattern formation it is evident that momentum on the upside is likely to continue. In coming trading session if Nifty for first hour trade above 8510 level then it can test 8550 – 8600 levels. On the downside, 8450 – 8380 may act as support for the day.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Time to ride falling interest rates in debt equity: Naren

The cumulative cut of 50 bps by RBI at the start of the year gave a huge boost to the debt market. Given the perfect setting of most of the macro-economic indicators another 50 bps of rate cuts seem to be likely for the rest of the year.

Image

S Naren
ICICI Prudential AMC

2015 has so far been driven by sentiment, alternating between optimism and anxiety; optimism, stemming from the economic prospects of the country and anxiety taking cues from global factors. The market has had quite a decent ascent in the short run, complemented by a positive rate cut from the RBI. On the flipside, global headwinds coming from Europe and US combined with richer domestic valuations should keep optimism in check.

A healthy consolidation will benefit markets

We expect 2015 to be volatile with reasonable uptick and some instances of downdrafts based on the local and global news.After the two good years that we have had in 2013 and 2014, it would be preferable for investor to moderate their expectations in check. It is of course impossible to predict the market, therefore investors should avoid being swayed by the past returns of the market.

The much talked about expectation is of US rate hike and the currency flutters occurring globally. It may be difficult for the US to have a higher interest rate environment, while the rest of the developed world is conducting some form of QE or another. Europe is on a bond buying spree, and so is Japan. This scenario itself is tantamount to tightening in the US.

But, just in case the US does decide to raise its rates in reaction to its strengthening economy, this is very likely to cause a wider impact on the global markets. This stance would lead to re-pricing of equities thus opening up opportunities across equity assets.

Indian economy set to spread wings

Going by the economic data, one can reasonably perceive an expanding Indian economy. Inflation and Current Account Deficit (CAD) are well under control. And the much anticipated reversal of interest rate cycle has just got underway. Given the lower crude price and lowering CAD, Indian equity markets offer a huge scope for investors.

Budget 2015 has gone further in reiterating its intentions of fiscal consolidation with a clear road map. The budget has also given a visibility to kick starting the capex cycle and infrastructure thrust. The government's finances are looking much healthier now with higher revenues and lower expenditure which is a very good combination for any government to have. Lower crude price has saved a few billion Dollars for the government in the form of reduced subsidies.

The attractive Debt fund opportunity

The cumulative cut of 50 bps by RBI at the start of the year gave a huge boost to the debt market. Debt funds have, as a result, returned above-average performance.The CAD, which is already well reined in, is likely to turn into a surplus in the coming quarters if the soft crude price stays. This has resulted in a huge savings of forex and helped the CAD tremendously in the recent past. Fortunately, inflation is already a percentage point below RBI target of 6%, aimed for the beginning of 2016. The disinflation in the global commodity prices has been a great boon for a consumer like India in terms of inflation. WPI too is in the negative territory at -2.0 percent in February 2015.

Given the perfect setting of most of the macro-economic indicators another 50 bps of rate cuts seem to be likely for the rest of the year. Investors holding relatively higher duration funds are likely to benefit immensely from this while more conservative investors can look at creating a debt portfolio with medium and long term funds.

Beneficial scenario for the leveraged sectors

The reversal of the interest rate scenario should come as a huge boost to highly leveraged companies. The 50 bps rate cut effected so far by RBI, when passed on to the broader economy, will reduce the interest burden of these companies. Some of these highly leveraged companies are well poised to make the most of the rate cycle reversal. However, it would require good diligence to spot the good companies in this basket. They are unlikely to have the best financials or balance sheets and research alone can unearth the worthy candidates. The financial sector too looks well placed to benefit from the lower interest rates.

Apart from improving credit demand, the NPA situation too is likely to improve. Public sector banks require capital infusion and this when combined with lower NPA and higher credit growth bodes well for the financials space. The infrastructure sector also looks to be a beneficiary of the increased government spending and recovery in the capex cycle.

To sign off

Good economic indicators aided by softening commodity prices place India in a sweet spot with regard to economic growth. Though Indian equities are not exactly cheap currently, they appear the most attractive emerging market for investors. The outlook for Indian equity is very positive for the next 3 to 5 years with even debt likely to join in with good performance, given the downward trend in interest rates.


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Mkt oversold; get out of short positions: Sudarshan Sukhani

Written By Unknown on Senin, 30 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Latha Venkatesh & Sonia Shenoy of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Latha Venkatesh & Sonia Shenoy of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

According to Sukhani, market is deeply oversold so short positions should be closed. He said, "Bias for today as an intraday trader would be to look for buying opportunities."

Below is the transcript of Sudarshan Sukhani's interview on CNBC-TV18.

Latha: What is the premonition, that bottom we appear to have hit intraday on Friday will hold, a green start, you dare to go long?

A: We had three trades in the Nifty in the month of March – one was when we went long hoping that we will reach 9,300; we did not but still the trade ended with a profit and two short trades. So, March ended rather well for traders who are watching this show. What happens now?

Short positions should be closed and that was the suggestion on March 26th and I am repeating it. Market is deeply oversold, not only Indian market but the world over, so get out of short positions if one hasn't done that. It is too early to talk about green shoots but they may happen.

So, the bias for today as an intraday trader would be to look for buying opportunities. I am not saying that we are starting a recovery again but at least the selling has stopped. Selling is having a low risk reward.

For stock specific ideas, watch videos.


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Sensex up 200 pts, Nifty reclaims 8400; Wipro, HDFC gainers

09:18

Moneycontrol Bureau The market rebounded sharply on Monday, tracking positive global cues. The Sensex rallied 197.15 points or 0.72 percent to 27655.79 and the Nifty reclaimed 8400, up 60.80 points or 0.73 percent at 8402.20. About 474 shares have advanced, 71 shares declined, and 88 shares are unchanged on the BSE.
 
Wipro, HDFC, Sesa Sterlite, M&M, Bharti Airtel, ITC, BPCL, Idea Cellular and Asian Paints rallied 1-1.5 percent.

The Indian rupee opened lower by 15 paise at 62.56 per dollar on Monday against Friday's closing value of 62.41 a dollar.

The dollar holds steady after the head of the US Central Bank assured investors that the path back to 'normal' interest rates will only occur at a gradual pace.

Agam Gupta of Standard Chartered said, "Expect year-end dollar inflows to continue in this shortened week."

He further added, "Exporters will continue to sell on upticks to levels of  62.65-62.70 and local government banks will mop up dollars on any downticks to 62.35-62.40/dollar. Expect it to be a rangebound day with good two way interest."

Among global markets, in the US, stocks closed mildly higher as investors digested Fed Chair Janet Yellen's remarks remained cautious ahead of first quarter earnings in April. Yellen said a rate increase may be warranted later this year, adding that an increase in core inflation is not essential before the fed raises rates.

The third estimate for Q4 US GDP came in unchanged at 2.2 percent. While corporate profits fell, consumer spending was revised higher to 4.4 percent from 4.2 percent, the fastest rate since the first quarter of 2006.

And in Asia, shares opened with a positive bias. Softer than expected factory output from Japan hurt sentiment, February industrial production fell 3.4 percent month-on-month, biggest drop since June 2014.

Among commodities, oil prices slipped as Iran and six world powers tried to reach a deal that could add oil to the market if sanctions against Tehran are lifted.

From precious metals space, gold snapped its rally to slip below USD 1200 an ounce as dollar steadies.


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The big event : NSE funancial national finale

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 29 Maret 2015 | 10.54

NSE's Funancial Quest, Season 4, this is the national finale. Three outstanding teams battled hard in the semi-finals to qualify as the winners of each of them and here in the national finals they will battle again and this time it is for the title of a national champion.

NSE's Funancial Quest, Season 4, this is the national finale. Three outstanding teams battled hard in the semi-finals to qualify as the winners of each of them and here in the national finals they will battle again and this time it is for the title of a national champion. Each of these teams has had a victory at their city level, semi-finals and one victory is all that stands in their way towards being crowned national champion.

Watch videos for more..


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Real Estate TV: Themed lifestyles now come from developers

Theme based projects are the buzz-word these days. Developers of housing societies today are competing with each other to lure customers with theme based projects. Each theme promises a unique experience, but are they actually practical and a desirable option or is it just a mere marketing gimmick?

Theme based projects are the buzz-word these days. Developers of housing societies today are competing with each other to lure customers with theme based projects. Each theme promises a unique experience, but are they actually practical and a desirable option or is it just a mere marketing gimmick?

Watch video for more.


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Small Cap World buys 82.5 lakh shares of City Union Bank

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 28 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Small Cap World FND INC bought 8,254,568 of City Union Bank at Rs 99.96 on the NSE.

On March 27, 2015 Amansa Holdings Private Limited sold 10,461,056 shares of  City Union Bank  at Rs 99.99 on the NSE.

However, Small Cap World FND INC bought 8,254,568 of City Union Bank at Rs 99.96 on the NSE.

On Friday, City Union Bank closed at Rs 95.55, down Re 0.20, or 0.21 percent.

The share touched its 52-week high Rs 102.60 and 52-week low Rs 52.85 on 4 M0arch, 2015 and 07 April, 2014, respectively.


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Mehrangarh Fin sells 1.6 lakh shares of Abhinav Capital

Prakhar Advisors & Traders Private Limited bought 159,500 shares of Abhinav Capital at Rs 71.95 on the BSE.

On March 27, 2015 Mehrangarh Financial Advisors Private Limited sold 160,000 shares of  Abhinav Capital  at Rs 71.95 on the BSE.

However, Prakhar Advisors & Traders Private Limited bought 159,500 shares of Abhinav Capital at Rs 71.95 on the BSE.

On Friday, Abhinav Capital Services closed at Rs 71.95, up Rs 3.40, or 4.96 percent.

The share touched its 52-week high Rs 71.95 and 52-week low Rs 28 on 27 March, 2015 and 25 August, 2014, respectively.


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Below 8300, Nifty may test 8200-8250: Arihant Capital

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 27 Maret 2015 | 10.54

If Nifty trades below 8300 level then it can test 8250 – 8200 level. Broadly, 8300 level on closing basis is make or break level going forward, says a report by Arihant Capital.

Arihant Capital's market outlook:

The current price action suggests that 8300 remains crucial level. In coming trading session if Nifty holds the above mentioned level then a bounce up to 8400 – 8440 cannot be ruled out. However, if Nifty trades below 8300 level then it can test 8250 – 8200 level. Broadly, 8300 level on closing basis is make or break level going forward.

On the daily chart, we are observing a bear candle near the upward gap area of 8236 to 8380 formed on January 15, 2015.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Ganeshaspeaks: Market prediction for March 27

It is very likely that you may not be able to take a decision as to whether buy or sell. Overall, this looks set to be a confusing day, says Ganesha.

By Shri Dharmesh Joshi of Ganeshaspeaks

Please consider 10 minutes plus and minus in each prediction, and act accordingly.

Ganesha advises you to compare every prediction with the prediction of the previous time slot.

Moon is in Rahu's Nakshatra i.e. in Ardra Nakshatra today.

It is very likely that you may not be able to take a decision as to whether buy or sell. Overall, this looks set to be a confusing day.

Nifty shall remain down from Opening to 10:11.

Nifty shall remain up from 10:11 to11:00.

From 11:00 to 12:12, there may be a mixed to negative pattern in Nifty.

12:12 to 13:00, the trend shall be up in Nifty.

13:00 to 14:00, Nifty shall be down.

14:00 to 15:30, Nifty shall be up.

Shri Dharmesh Joshi is a protege of Bejan Daruwalla and belongs to the team of astrologers declared as official successors to his astrological legacy, by none other than Bejan Daruwalla himself, in an event in Mumbai on the 23rd Nov, 2009.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/astrologers on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.


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SBI: Updates on JV agreement

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 26 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The Executive Committee of the Central Board (ECCB) has on March 25, 2015 decided to initiate the necessary action as per JV agreement for dilution of SBI's stake in SBI General Insurance from 76% to 51% with corresponding increase of stake of IAG from 26% to 49%, including appointment of a valuer to facilitate valuation and price discovery.

State Bank of India has informed BSE that consequent upon the promulgation of the Insurance Laws (Amendment) Ordinance, 2014 and subsequently passed by both the houses of parliament, the Executive Committee of the Central Board (ECCB) has on March 25, 2015 decided to initiate the necessary action as per JV agreement for dilution of SBI's stake in SBI General Insurance from 76% to 51% with corresponding increase of stake of IAG from 26% to 49%, including appointment of a valuer to facilitate valuation and price discovery.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in SBI


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Nifty breaks 8500 ahead of expiry; Sensex slips below 28000

The market opened sharply lower on Thursday with the Nifty breaking 8500 ahead of expiry of March derivative contracts. The Sensex lost 211.54 points to 27900.29 and the Nifty declined 55.85 points to 8474.95.

09:19

Moneycontrol Bureau The market opened sharply lower on Thursday with the Nifty breaking 8500 ahead of expiry of March derivative contracts. The Sensex lost 211.54 points to 27900.29 and the Nifty declined 55.85 points to 8474.95.

About 172 shares have advanced, 307 shares declined, and 103 shares are unchanged on the BSE.

The Indian rupee slipped in the early trade on Thursday. It has opened lower by 22 paise at 62.55 per dollar versus 62.33 Wednesday.

The US dollar slipped against major world currencies on weak economic data in the US but still held onto gains of more than 7 percent year-to-date.

Mohan Shenoi of Kotak Mahindra Bank said, "Markets are expecting a delayed start of the Fed rate hike cycle. This has stalled dollar rally against major currencies."

He further added, "Rupee has also gained against the dollar in the last one week. The rupee is expected to trade in a range of 62.20-62.50/dollar today."

In the US stocks plunged, closing more than 1 percent lower as investors weighed the impact of the strong dollar on the economy and the coming earnings season.
On the data front in the US, February's durable goods orders posted a decline, rather than the modest expected increase, under pressure from the strong dollar and weak global demand.


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Indian rupee opens marginally lower at 62.32 per dollar

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 25 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The currency market today is expected to take cues from the month-end demand from importers which could put some pressure on the rupee, says NS Venkatesh of IDBI Bank.

The Indian rupee has opened marginally lower at 62.32 per dollar on Wednesday against previous day's closing value of 62.26 a dollar.

NS Venkatesh of IDBI Bank said, "The currency market today is expected to take cues from the month-end demand from importers which could put some pressure on the rupee. The rupee is expected to trade between 62.20-62.40/dollar today."

The US dollar rebounded against the euro on persistent bullish sentiment toward the greenback. The euro slipped below 1.10 to the dollar.


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Oil prices steady, but inventory build drags

Brent oil futures were trading at USD 55.13 a barrel at 0229 GMT and US WTI crude was at USD 47.48 a barrel - both virtually unchanged from their last settlement.

Crude futures were steady on Wednesday, but ballooning volumes in storage around the world were expected to pressure prices.

Brent oil futures were trading at USD 55.13 a barrel at 0229 GMT and US WTI crude was at USD 47.48 a barrel - both virtually unchanged from their last settlement.

"Another week, another record US commercial stock level," said US -based PIRA Energy.

US crude stockpiles were forecast to extend their record build into an eleventh consecutive week.

A poll of eight analysts, taken ahead of weekly reports from industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday, showed a crude stock build of 5.1 million barrels on average last week.

PIRA said that Japanese crude stocks had also risen slightly due to higher imports and spring-time refinery maintenance.


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UD Trading Group buys 15.5 lakh shares of Ushdev Intl

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 24 Maret 2015 | 10.54

On March 23, 2015 UD Trading Group Holding PTE Ltd bought 1,554,694 shares of Ushdev International at Rs 292.03 per share on the BSE.

On March 23, 2015 UD Trading Group Holding PTE Ltd bought 1,554,694 shares of Ushdev International  at Rs 292.03 per share on the BSE.

However, Ushdev Commercial Services Private Ltd sold 1,547,694 shares of Ushdev International at Rs 292 per share on the BSE.

On Monday, Ushdev International closed at Rs 298.90.

The share touched its 52-week high Rs 388 on 15 January, 2015.


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India not in structural slowdown; like NBFCs: Credit Suisse

Neelkanth Mishra of Credit Suisse feels the weakness in the Indian market is partly due to government's fiscal tightening. But on the brighter side, he believes there will be a pick up in government spending from April 1.

The weakening in the Indian markets is on the back of the earnings cut seen over the past few months. The market has seen 5 percent cut in earnings in the last three months, is the word coming in from Neelkanth Mishra, head of equity strategy, India at Credit Suisse. He believes earnings could see further cuts post the March quarter.

According to him, investors are worried about weak demand across the economy. Cement, paints and consumer discretionary sales have seen weakness, he says.

Mishra feels the weakness is also on account of government's fiscal tightening. But on the brighter side, he believes there will be a government spending pick up from April 1, due to which the economy too will see an uplift. He sees the economy reviving in April-May. "India is not in a structural slowdown," he told CNBC-TV18.

He says other economies such as Europe and Japan have started to look attractive at this point, but that won't lead to much of a waning in interest in Indian markets from FIIs. FII interest towards the Chinese market is increasing too, he adds. However, the interest for Indian equity market among institutional investors remains intact, he feels.

He is overweight on discretionary sectors such as paints, two-wheelers, NBFCs, consumer staples and private banks. However, he is underweight on PSU banks and metals.

Stay tuned for more…


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Piccadily Sugar to sell its sugar mill division

Written By Unknown on Senin, 23 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Piccadily Sugar & Allied Industries has considered to sell, transfer, dispose of whole or substantially the whole of the Sugar Mill (division) of the Company including Land & Building, Plant and Machinery & other assets both moveable & immoveable located at Jakhal Road, Patran, Distt. Patiala, Punjab.

Piccadily Sugar & Allied Industries Ltd has informed BSE that the board of directors of the Company has considered to sell, transfer, dispose of whole or substantially the whole of the Sugar Mill (division) of the Company including Land & Building, Plant and Machinery & other assets both moveable & immoveable located at Jakhal Road, Patran, Distt. Patiala, Punjab.It is has been decided to seek approval of the shareholders of the Company under section 180(1) (a) of the Companies Act 2013 through Postal Ballot.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Piccadilly Sug


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Anar Industries's EGM on April 15, 2015

Anar Industries Ltd has informed BSE that the Extra Ordinary General Meeting (EGM) of the Company will be held on April 15, 2015.

To read the full report click here


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Motomiu Katanga Uno first ride review

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 22 Maret 2015 | 10.54

After seeing that intro line you might ask me, What in heck do you mean? Aren't all customs better than stock? Phooey! But the answer to that question is a matter of perspective. Most people think of custom bikes as good-looking. Not entirely inaccurate. But to many that's all that matters. Unfortunately I cannot be that person. Not thinking about riding a bike - and that includes customs - is like going to an unlimited buffet with your mouth sewn closed. Painful, uselessand frustrating. And if I'm honest, I've seen so... Read More


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Exclusive chat with Havas Chairman CEO, Yannick Bollore

Havas's chairman and CEO, Yannick Bolore was in the country recently. Storyboard's Editor, Anant Rangaswami caught up with him to understand the communication holding company's 'Together' strategy, how it helps its clients and the challenges in managing procurement costs.

Havas's chairman and CEO, Yannick Bolore was in the country recently. Storyboard's Editor, Anant Rangaswami caught up with him to understand the communication holding company's 'Together' strategy, how it helps its clients and the challenges in managing procurement costs.

 Watch video for more...


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Crude oil surges amid weak dollar and new federal standards on fracking

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 21 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Investing.com - Investing.com -- Crude oil futures soared on Friday afternoon, amid a weaker U.S. dollar and the release of new standards for fracking on federal lands by the White House.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, WTI crude oil for April delivery surged more than 5% or 2.21 to $46.17 a barrel, before settling at $45.87 at Friday's close. Future contracts for May delivery of Texas Light Sweet crude also increased 1.16 or 2.54% to 46.69.

Oil prices shot up as the dollar continued to weaken in the wake of relatively dovish comments from Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen earlier in the week. While the Fed removed its stance of remaining patient on its timing of a potential interest rate hike, Yellen appeared to strike a dovish tone with lower forecasts on inflation and GDP growth. The U.S. central bank also forecasted that interest rates will rise at a slower pace than had previously been expected.

Yellen's comments have sent the dollar spiraling from 11-year highs reached last week. The euro rose nearly 2% against the dollar in U.S. afternoon trading to 1.0867, while the U.S. Dollar Index fell 1.35% to 98.11. Speculative oil traders used the weakening dollar to hedge their positions in crude.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Interior Department on Friday approved the most comprehensive set of rules to date on how to govern drilling on Federal lands using hydraulic fracturing, a process where high-pressured fluid composed of water, chemicals and sand is injected into deep-rock formations creating cracks wide enough in the rocks to allow shale gas to flow more freely. The new regulations could impact approximately 100,000 oil and gas wells on Federally managed land throughout the country.

Among the new standards, the Interior Department will require firms to disclose the chemicals they use in the fracking process, improve standards for storing waste and construct stronger cement barriers to prevent oil leaks. In response two oil industry groups filed a lawsuit to challenge the regulatory changes, Politico.com.

As oil prices have headed on a downward trend in recent months, Saudi Arabia's oil minister last week blamed shale producers in the U.S. for the precipitous drop. On the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), brent crude for May delivery rose 0.85 or 1.56% to $55.28 a barrel.

It came one day after Ali al-Omair, Kuwait's oil minister, indicated that current market conditions have forced Opec to maintain its production level. While al-Omair said Kuwait "will be very happy if other producers cut output," he added that the world's 10th largest oil producer can't afford to "lose its share in the market." Kuwait currently produces crude oil at a rate of approximately 3 million barrels per day.

Crude oil futures remained relatively unchanged after oil services firm Baker Hughes (NYSE:BHI) released its weekly rig count on Friday afternoon. U.S. oil rigs for the week ending Mar. 6 declined by 41 to 825. The report comes one day after the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a report that oil is being pumped in the U.S. at its fastest rate in nearly 30 years.

Investing.com
Investing.com offers an extensive set of professional tools for the financial markets.
Read more News on Investing.com and download the new Investing.com apps for Android and iOS!


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FTC passes final order in USD 4 billion Sun-Ranbaxy deal

US anti-trust regulator FTC has passed its final order settling charges that Sun Pharma's USD 4 billion deal to acquire Ranbaxy Laboratories could result in unfair business practices.

US anti-trust regulator FTC has passed its final order settling charges that Sun Pharma 's USD 4 billion deal to acquire  Ranbaxy Laboratories could result in unfair business practices.

Once consummated, the merger would create India's largest and world's fifth-biggest drug maker. In a statement, the Federal Trade Commission today said that following a "public comment period", it has approved a final order settling charges that the Sun Pharma-Ranbaxy deal would likely be anti-competitive.

As per the first order issued by FTC in January this year, Sun Pharma was required to divest Ranbaxy's interests in generic minocycline tablets to Torrent Pharmaceuticals , based in India. Torrent Pharma markets generic drugs in the US.

"Sun must also sell Ranbaxy's generic minocycline capsules to Torrent to enable Torrent to obtain regulatory approval for its tablets as quickly as Ranbaxy would have absent the deal," the release said.

In January, FTC had said that to address monopoly concerns, Sun Pharma and Ranbaxy have agreed to divest the latter's interests in generic minocycline tablets.

Generic minocycline tablets are used to treat a wide array of bacterial infections, including pneumonia, acne, and urinary tract infections.

Under the proposed settlement, Ranbaxy's generic minocycline capsule assets was to be acquired by Torrent Pharma.

In addition, Sun and Ranbaxy must supply generic minocycline tablets and capsules to Torrent until the company establishes its own manufacturing infrastructure, the first order had said.

"The proposed consent agreement effectively remedies the proposed acquisition's anti-competitive effects in relevant markets," FTC had said in January.

"Pursuant to the consent agreement and the order, the parties are required to divest all of Ranbaxy's rights and assets to generic minocycline tablets to Torrent," it had said.

India's fair trade watchdog CCI, in last December, had directed both companies to divest seven products as it found that the deal could hit competition in the Indian market.

Sun Pharma stock price

On March 20, 2015, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries closed at Rs 1027.10, down Rs 18.75, or 1.79 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 1074.05 and the 52-week low was Rs 556.50.


The latest book value of the company is Rs 35.77 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 28.71.


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Nifty may rise at opening bell: Maximus Securities

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 20 Maret 2015 | 10.54

According to a report by Maximus Securities, trading of CNX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could rise 10 points at the opening bell.

Maximus Securities' Daily Report:

Nifty PCR-OI has decreased to 0.87 from 0.92. Fall in the ratio is due to decrease in PE of 8500 and increase in CE of 8700. PE of 8700 and CE of 8800 are highest number of contracts traded.

Trading of CNX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could rise 10 points at the opening bell.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Mkt facing discomfort on $ strength, bond yields: Choksey

Deven Choksey of KR Choksey Shares and Securities is bullish on Tata Motors. The negative news - Land Rover recalls 36,000 SUVs in China - notwithstanding, he believes the stock is a good buy and investors must bet on new launches.

The long funds are coming into the market and building positions, is the word coming in from Deven Choksey of KR Choksey Shares and Securities.

The market is facing discomfort on two counts – dollar gaining strength and bond yields moving in a direction opposite to rate cuts, which is resulting in a selloff in every rally, he says. Also, once the rupee starts depreciating against the dollar, the reading funds will start selling, he adds.

He is bullish on Tata Motors . The negative news - Land Rover recalls 36,000 SUVs in China - notwithstanding, he believes the stock is a good buy and investors must bet on new launches.

As far as pharma companies go, Choksey doesn't see much headroom to buy afresh goven the already high valuations. However, he advises investors to hold on to good quality pharma names, but buy only on deep cut corrections.

Stay tuned for more…


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Mkt will become buy once Nifty hits 8400; sell rally: Elara

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 19 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Harendra Kumar of Elara Capital believes if the market continues to stay higher, long-term investors and traders will look to book profits and the market will go into a consolidation phase.

The US Federal Reserve event has only been postponed by 2-3 months and the dollar strength is here to stay, is the word coming in from Harendra Kumar, head of institutional broking and global economy at Elara Capital.

He believes if the market continues to stay higher, long-term investors and traders will look to book profits and the market will go into a consolidation phase.

According to Kumar, the market will once again become a buy once the Nifty hits 8400-odd levels. He recommends investors to sell on every rally.

Inflows into India can remain flattish, he says and hence is worried on financials in the interim.

Kumar says the resumption of mining activity is a big positive for the Indian economy. He is bullish on  Sesa Sterlite due to resumption on mining in Goa.

He says currency tailwind stocks, such as tech is the space to be. He is infact betting on tech to lead the next rally.

He believes some of the companies that have already done well such as  Tata Communications and some of the other Tata companies will give good returns. He expects some of these Tata companies to even outperform the Nifty.


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Thomas Cook: Outcome of board meeting

Thomas Cook (India) Ltd has informed BSE that the meeting of Board of Directors of the Company held on March 18, 2015.

Thomas Cook (India) Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on March 18, 2015, inter alia:- noted that at an earlier convened Board Meeting of Quess Corp Limited [formerly IKYA Human Capital Solutions Limited a subsidiary of Thomas Cook (India) Limited] on March 17, 2015, various options pertaining to the long term funding needs of Quess Corp Limited were discussed, including the initiation of a process to evaluate an Initial Public Offering (IPO).Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Thomas Cook


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Fed rate hike speculation to trigger volatility: Edelweiss

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 18 Maret 2015 | 10.54

In light of continuing speculation over when the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates for the first time in seven years, Vikas Khemani, President & Co-Head - wholesale Capital Markets, Edelweiss, said that he expects markets to continue to consolidate while staying volatile.

In light of continuing speculation over when the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates for the first time in seven years, Vikas Khemani, President & Co-Head - wholesale Capital Markets, Edelweiss, said that he expects markets to continue to consolidate while staying volatile.

If the Fed decides to postpone its interest rate hike from June (as is currently expected), there would be short rally, he added.

But overall, the trend would be lower given that earnings support was still to come in and as the market being in the "fair value zone", any negative news flow becomes more pronounced, he added.

"But if the Nifty corrects to 8,300 money is waiting to come in."


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Gold comes off four-month low; Fed outcome eyed

Gold edged up on Wednesday after hitting a more than four-month low in the previous session, while traders remained cautious ahead of the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting that may stoke expectations for a mid-year hike in US interest rates.

Many expect the Fed officials, who started a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday, to drop the word "patient" from their forward guidance on interest rates, potentially paving the way for a rate hike around June, the first since 2006.

But HSBC said upcoming US inflation data may not be strong enough to prompt a rate hike in June, and policymakers could wait until September before taking any action.

"The removal of the word "patient" from the FOMC's (Federal Open Market Committee) guidance may initially pressure gold prices, especially if it helps to further boost the dollar," HSBC analyst James Steel told clients in a note.

"That said, if a rate rise does not occur in June or if inflation data does not move up to the 2 percent target level, then investor sentiment toward gold may change for the positive and prices may trade higher."

Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at USD 1,151.10 an ounce by 0220 GMT, recovering slightly from Tuesday's trough of USD 1,142.86 - its lowest since Nov. 7.

Gold, a non-interest yielding asset, has dropped nearly 3 percent this year on expectations for a US rate hike.

US gold for April delivery gained 0.2 percent to USD 1,150.40 an ounce.

While the US economy has been strengthening as evidenced by a firming labour market, the housing sector remained weak, suggesting the Fed is unlikely to engage in an aggressive hiking cycle after an initial rate increase.

Data on Tuesday showed US housing starts plunged to their lowest level in a year in February.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings dropped 0.4 percent to 747.98 tonnes on Tuesday.


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NSE Finwiz: CYIENT employees learn financial planning

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 17 Maret 2015 | 10.54

NSE FinWiz goes to Hyderabad to visit Cyient employees to gauge their thoughts and notions on investment and financial planning. Subhash Lakhutia, Tax & Investment Consultant and Pankaj Mathpal, Financial Planner and CEO of Optima Money Managers answers all the queries regarding investment and financial planning.

NSE FinWiz goes to Hyderabad to visit Cyient employees to gauge their thoughts and notions on investment and financial planning. Subhash Lakhutia, Tax & Investment Consultant and Pankaj Mathpal, Financial Planner and CEO of Optima Money Managers answers all the queries regarding investment and financial planning.

Watch videos for more...


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Sensex up over 150 pts, Nifty above 8650; BHEL, ITC gain

BHEL, Dr Reddy's Labs, Sesa Sterlite, ITC and Tata Power are top gainers in the Sensex. Among the losers are Cipla, Infosys and NTPC.

09:15

Moneycontrol Bureau The market has opened strong following global cues. The Sensex is up 196.45 points or 0.6 percent at 28634.16, and the Nifty up 55.95 points or 0.6 percent at 8689.10. About 412 shares have advanced, 65 shares declined, and 89 shares are unchanged.

BHEL, Dr Reddy's Labs, Sesa Sterlite, ITC and Tata Power are top gainers in the Sensex. Among the losers are Cipla, Infosys and NTPC.

The Indian rupee opened marginally higher at 62.77 per dollar on Tuesday versus 62.81 Monday.

The dollar fell across the board, as investors worry that the greenback's rapid rise could prompt the Federal Reserve to be a little more cautious about raising interest rates this year.

The dollar is up 24 percent against a basket of currencies since May and it could become a key issue at this week's Fed monetary policy meeting

Ashutosh Raina of HDFC Bank said, "The dollar continues to remain the theme with the dollar index hovering around the 100 mark. The rupee has been a relative outperformer moving in 62.50-63.00/dollar range. We expect the rupee to continue trading in this range with a weakish bias."

Markets in the US closed more than 1 percent higher as investors cheered a pause in the dollar rally and eyed renewed weakness in oil prices ahead of Wednesday's key Fed meeting.

The Fed's policy committee will convene for its monthly two-day policy meeting today and a statement will be released on Wednesday night.  Markets will be watching whether the central bank will eliminate the "patient" promise in its post-meeting statement, paving the way for an interest rate hike this year.

In Europe, equities finished higher as investor sentiment continued to be positive on the back of the extra liquidity provided by the European Central Bank (ECB) in the region.

In commodities, NYMEX crude is at a six-year low on signs of higher output in the US and Libya and a possible nuclear deal that could end sanctions for Iran, allowing more of its oil into the market.

From precious metals space - gold prices continue to trade near 3 month lows of USD 1150 an ounce.


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Build long positions on dips, autos to gain: Macquarie

Written By Unknown on Senin, 16 Maret 2015 | 10.54

According to Rakesh Arora of Macquarie, industrials, autos and real estate provide the best opportunity to gain from the emerging trend. He recommends building long positions on dips.

Rakesh Arora, Macquarie says interest rate easing cycle, government-led infrastructure build and consumption growth revival should be the dominant themes for 2015-16.

According to him, industrials, autos and real estate provide the best opportunity to gain from the emerging trend. He recommends building long positions on dips.


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Intraday trend volatile, trade on day-to-day basis:Sukhani

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Sonia Shenoy & Reema Tendulkar of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Sonia Shenoy & Reema Tendulkar of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

According to Sukhani, short opportunity had opened last week and the suggestion was to go short in the Nifty with a stop at 8,850. He said, "Intraday trend was not clear and even today it is not clear. The trend is down. One must have intermediate term positions and short positions in the market with a stop loss at 8,850."

For stock specific ideas, watch videos.


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F1 2015: Lewis Hamilton claims pole at Australian GP

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 15 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The 2015 season of Formula 1 could well be another season of Mercedes domination. The performance of the Silver Arrows in testing indicated they'd be strong this year and their performance during qualifying at the Australian GP is another indicator of just how strong the team is likely to be in 2015. Lewis Hamilton took pole position at Melbourne, followed home in a close second position by Nico Rosberg with the team locking out the front row. It wasn't an easy run for Rosberg in Q3 though, and errors meant that he was not able to take the... Read More


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Steve Thomas clinches the pole position for the super qualifier in Tata T1 Prima Truck Racing Championship 2015

Steve Thomas clinches the pole position for the super qualifier in Tata T1 Prima Truck Racing Championship 2015

It is season two and the hard charging behemoths from Tata's stables are back at the Buddh International Circuit at Greater Noida in India. The Tata T1 Prima Truck Racing Championship, compared to the inaugural 2014 season, promises to be an even more exciting and action packed event this year and the qualifying session that was held today showcased that the leaps by which the Prima race truck's performance has increased. Last year's winner Stuart Oliver, missed the pole by just a few tenths of a second. The Team Castrol Vecton driver's... Read More


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Here's Ayaz Memon's take on Cricket World Cup 2015

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 14 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Watch the interview of Ayaz Memon with Menaka Doshi and Anuj Singhal on CNBC-TV18, in which he shared his reading and outlook on Cricket World Cup 2015.

Watch the interview of Ayaz Memon with Menaka Doshi and Anuj Singhal on CNBC-TV18, in which he shared his reading and outlook on Cricket World Cup 2015.


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EUR/USD slips below 1.05, as U.S. Dollar Index cracks 100 barrier

Investing.com - Investing.com -- The euro slipped below 1.05 against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as concerns mounted for European importers that EUR/USD could reached parity sooner than expected.

In U.S. afternoon trading, the euro fell 1.32% or 0.014 to 1.0497 to reach a 12-year low. The euro dropped steadily from session-highs of 1.0636 in European trading to cap a volatile week for the currency.

The euro has depreciated more than 10% against its U.S. counterpart for the year and nearly 40% since August. More than a third of the yearly decline has occurred over the last week, as investors geared up for the start of the European Central Bank's €60 billion a month quantitative easing program, which began on Monday.

In quantitative easing, policy makers purchase securities with the newly printed currencies to raise the money supply in the wider system. Monetary easing programs, such as the ones previously undertaken by central banks in the U.S. and Japan following the 2008 Financial Crisis, are intended to drive up the market price of bonds. When bond prices increase, yields decrease lowering the rates for mortgages and other loans.

One week into the initiative, the bond buying program appears on its way of accomplishing its intended effect. Yields on 10-year government bonds are down across the board in Germany, France, Spain, Italy and Belgium. On Friday, however, the German 10-Year bunds edged up 4.03% to 0.01, after reaching record-lows last week.

Questions, though, remain on whether the European Central Bank can attract enough buyers to snatch up the sovereign debt. Over the first three days of quantitative easing, the ECB made €10.3 billion in bond purchases, according to the Wall Street Journal. In addition, Norway's oil fund announced on Friday that it will sell $860 million in European bonds from its portfolio to invest in real estate.

The U.S. dollar continued its upward path against its major global competitors. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback versus a basket of six major currencies, cracked the historic 100 barrier underscoring the strength of the dollar. By late-afternoon, the index peaked at 100.37 to reach a level not seen since 2003.

Currency traders now await next week's critical Federal Open Market Committee meetings when the U.S. Federal Reserve could provide indications on how shortly it might raise interest rates. If the Fed decides to remove a reference to "remaining patient," in its minutes, it typically indicates that interest rates could be raised at either of its next two meetings. After next week's meeting, the FOMC will meet in June and September.

Additional gains in the dollar were softened on Friday by weaker than expected U.S. economic data. The U.S. Labor Department said in a monthly report that producer prices in February declined by 0.5%, following a drop of nearly 1% a month earlier.

Elsewhere, the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell sharply to 91.2 in March from a 95.4 level last month. The index was expected to rise slightly to 95.5.

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See positive opening: Ventura

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 12 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Ventura Securities' Fundamental Report:

Sensex, on Wednesday, fell 50 points and closed at 28,659 in a volatile trading session.The impending rate hike by Fed and Greek debt worries continued to weigh on market sentiments. Among sectors, Metal, Oil & Gas, Healthcare and Capital Goods ended on a weak note. Among stocks, Hindalco, SSLT, Tata Steel, Cipla and Tata Motors declined over 1.5 percent. Market breadth was negative with 1,684 declines against 1,159 advances.

Nifty fell 12 points and closed at 8,699. Today we expect the markets to open in green after three consecutive days of decline and positive cues from Asian markets.

US markets ended the day on a negative note; Dow closed 0.16 percent down, while Nasdaq fell 0.2 percent as rate hike worries dampened sentiments. US markets, today, will see data releases on Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims,Import Prices m/m, Business Inventories m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y BondAuction, and Federal
Budget Balance.

Asian markets are trading on a positive note; Nikkei is trading up 1.1 percent while Hang Seng is trading up 0.3 percent. SGX Nifty is trading up 11 points at 8,765.

Indian ADRs ended the day on a largely negative note. Among financial ADRs, ICICI Bank closed 2.2 percent up, while HDFC Bank fell 0.73 percent. Among IT ADRs, Wipro was down0.53 percent, while Infosys closed 0.17 percent down. Tata Motors was down 0.87 percent.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.


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Resistance for Nifty at 8800-8850: Arihant Capital

According to Arihant Capital, on the upside 8800 – 8850 levels for Nifty may act resistance for the day.

Arihant Capital's market outlook:

The current price action on the daily chart suggests that 8669 level holds significance going forward. Any breach of this level would dragged down Nifty to test 8650 – 8594 levels. However, on the upside we maintain our earlier stance that 8800 – 8850 levels may act resistance for the day.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Overweight India, China; will buy after dollar settles: UBS

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 11 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The global markets have been selling-off since past two days with the US stocks closing at one-month low and Asia and Europe trading weak. Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Geoffrey Dennis, head- Global Emerging Market Strategy, UBS said there is fair amount of panic among global investors

According to him, there will be a buying opportunity in emerging markets as currently, valuations are not expensive. He does not expect a long-term correction in the markets.

Dennis is overweight on China and India and will buy the two once the dollar settles. He believes rupee has been a relative outperformer versus the dollar and says the Indian market is finding excuses for profit booking post the Union Budget and is unlikely to underperform for too long.

Below is verbatim transcript of the interview:

Q: We have seen big fall in the US markets overnight, we have seen the dollar index surge to 100. Do you see a bit of panic in global markets right now?

A: There is certainly a fair amount of panic in global markets. It is all primarily tied to the sudden rally in the dollar and that is giving you a flight to quality in terms of market. The very strong employment reports out of the US on Friday has raised expectations about when Fed will raise interest rates. So, there is certainly a bit of mini panic going on; no question.

Q: Should you use this panic as an opportunity to buy into global equities? If yes, what would your top emerging market preferences be for a buy now?

A: There will be a buying opportunity out of all of this. However, you have to wait for the dollar to settle down. The dollar has had a very big move against the major currencies and particularly against the euro recently and you need to see the dollar settle down before you move into buy.

However, we certainly think this will be a good long-term buying opportunity. Our own preferences, to be overweight in Asia; our favourite markets in Asia are China and India and we have some selective exposure in Latin America.

However, while this turbulence is going on, investors will want to stay on the sidelines until they see markets settle down particularly the currency settle down and then it will be a buying opportunity because global growth is fair and therefore markets have sold off too much.
 
Q: This month China started to outperform India quite a bit, I think it is on a relative basis outperforming India by 5 percent. Do you think it is a bit of an aberration, will the India market again catch up or do you see a bit of near-term outperformance for China?

A: I don't think it is particularly an aberration because the Chinese market has been doing quite a lot for a while now although last year there was particular excitement in China with the Asia market which now we are looking at. We have to look at the typically Hong Kong shares in China.

I think India is paused clearly because of some profit taking. Perhaps if there is some if not disappointment, there was some excuse for profit taking after the recent Budget.

However, we are very bullish about the Indian story because of corporate earnings growth, because of good performance by corporates generally because of the reform story, because of the growth the overall economy and so this is only a pause in India's strong performance.

I would worry to pick between the two of them. I think they are both going to do well but certainly I do not expect India to be an underperformer for long. I think it is going to continue to move higher over the medium-term.


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Short-term traders can take profit: Sudarshan Sukhani

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Sonia Shenoy & Reema Tendulkar of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

Technical analyst, Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com spoke with Sonia Shenoy & Reema Tendulkar of CNBC-TV18. He shared his reading and outlook on the market and also gave recommendations on various stocks.

According to Sukhani, the market is in a short-term downtrend. He said, "Short-term traders can take some profit off the table or continue with the short trade, there is no long idea as of now on the indices."

For stock specific ideas, watch videos.


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See positive opening: Ventura Securities

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 10 Maret 2015 | 10.54

According to Ventura Securities, markets to open in green on the back of positive global cues.

Ventura Securities' Fundamental Report:

Sensex, on Monday, lost 604 points and closed 28,845 as Indian markets mirrors the nervousness in global markets about an earlier-than-expected rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. Among sectors, Bankex, Power, Capital Goods, and Realty declined more than 2.5 percent. Among stocks, SSLT, Hindalco, BHEL, GAIL, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank declined over 4 percent each. Market breadth was negative with 1921 declines against 950 advances.

Nifty lost 181 points and closed at 8,757. Today we expect the markets to open in green on the back of positive global cues.

US marketsended the day on a positive note. Dow Jones and Nasdaq closed 0.78 percent and 0.31 percent up respectively, as investors took a more positive outlook on the strong jobs report. US markets, today, will see data releases on NFIB Small Business Index, Wholesale Inventories m/m, and JOLTS Job Openings.

Asian markets ended on mixed note with Nikkei up 0.30 percent and Hang Seng down 0.52 percent. SGX Nifty is trading 28 points down at 8,767. Indian ADRs ended the day on a negative note. Among financial ADRs, ICICI Bank closed 3.32 percent down and HDFC Bank closed 1.97 percent down. Among IT ADRs, Wipro was down 1.47 percent and Infosys was down 1.16 percent. Tata Motors was down 0.42 percent.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any
investment decisions.


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ICICI Bank plans special vertical for NPA recovery

With bad loans continuing to be a problem, ICICI Bank is reportedly planning to re-start a special vertical to handle such assets.

With bad loans continuing to be a problem, ICICI Bank  is reportedly planning to re-start a special vertical to handle such assets.

The country's largest lender State Bank of India  already has such a group called Stressed Assets Management Group to handle high NPAs, which came lower during the December quarter.

ICICI Bank is looking at various options to get a grip over bad loans, which went up to 3.40 percent in the December quarter.

Sources said the special vertical was reportedly shut in 2005, after being operational for five years, and may be restarted soon. It could be headed by Senior General Manager K M Jayarao, who headed the wing in its first avatar as well, they added.

When contacted, an ICICI Bank spokesperson declined comment, saying it does not react to market speculation.

In the past, ICICI Bank Managing Director and Chief Executive Chanda Kochchar had blamed the NPA problem on prolonged tepidness on the macro front, which is forcing recast assets to slip.

During the December quarter earnings, Kochhar had said this trend of restructured assets slipping into NPAs lags the progress on the macro front, and the bank expected it to continue for another two-three quarters more. In the third quarter, the bank had said its gross non-performing assets ratio moved up to 3.40 percent, while fresh slippages rose to Rs 2,279 crore.

Of this, almost a third, or Rs 776 crore, came from restructured loans. The largest private lender restructured Rs 1,755 crore during the quarter, down from Rs 2,300 crore a year ago.

ICICI Bank stock price

On March 10, 2015, at 09:23 hrs ICICI Bank was quoting at Rs 331.65, down Rs 1.05, or 0.32 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 393.30 and the 52-week low was Rs 236.40.


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 18.81 per share as per the quarter ended December 2014. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 17.63. The latest book value of the company is Rs 126.29 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 2.63.


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Apple takes leap into new territory with smartwatch

Written By Unknown on Senin, 09 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Apple's hotly-anticipated smartwatch is expected to debut tomorrow as the trend-setting firm sets out to make stylish wrist-worn computers must-have accessories for modern lifestyles.

Industry trackers say Apple Watch will star at a media event being held at the same San Francisco theatre where the California tech giant introduced the iPad.

Apple's chief executive Tim Cook has revealed little about the sophisticated wrist wear, but has said that he "can't live without it." The company announced its plans for Apple Watch last year to much fanfare and has said it would begin shipping in April.

It will mark Apple's first new product type since the iPad in 2010. Apple has indicated that the entry price would be USD 349 in the United States, and that two different sizes would be available in three collections, including the "Apple Watch Edition," featuring 18-karat gold cases in yellow or rose, sapphire crystal and finely crafted bands and closures.

The Apple device will connect with the iPhone, and also have a range of apps and sensors, notably for health and fitness.

The watch is also expected to include map software that guides people to destinations with gentle "taps" on the wrist. Fitness apps on the Apple Watch and its rivals could spell trouble for makers of fitness bands from companies like Jawbone, Fitbit and Nike.

"Apple is poised to once again show how computing platforms are won or lost on the one-two punch of eager consumers and hungry ecosystem partners," said Forrester Research analyst James McQuivey.

Apple reportedly had to scale back health tracking features on the watch after some sensors didn't rise to the challenges. It remains unclear whether Apple -- a latecomer to the wearables segment -- would do for smartwatches what the iPod did for MP3 players and the iPad did for tablet computers.

Apple enters a segment crowded with vendors ranging from South Korean giants Samsung and LG, to Japan's Sony and startups such as Pebble.

Motorola, acquired by Chinese giant Lenovo last year, also produces a smartwatch, and China's Huawei introduced its version at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona this month.

Pebble, which burst on the scene with a crowd-funded smartwatch in 2012, this month broke the record on the Kickstarter platform with more than USD 16 million raised.


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Tech, PSU banks may drag mkt lower; like Sintex: Sabharwal

Sandip Sabharwal of asksandipsabharwal.com says credibility of guidance forecast by technology companies is waning and PSU banks might find it difficult to raise money from the market.

The Reserve Bank lowering repo rates was a significant move from a market point of view, but despite that the markets sold off heavily that day. Sandip Sabharwal of asksandipsabharwal.com believes it might be a difficult level for the market to cross.

He was also surprised by the way the markets moved after the earnings disappointment, but attributed it to foreign investors.

He believes technology and PSU banks can drag the market lower. He says credibility of guidance forecast by technology companies is waning and PSU banks might find it difficult to raise money from the market.

On the other hand, he says pharma companies, despite the run-up in some of the stocks, may be a good place to hide. He feels these stocks won't see much of an impact even in case of negative market moves. However, he adds these stocks might be a good bet from a stability point of view, but may not see much appreciation.

Going ahead, Sabharwal sees interest rates trending lower in April and feels that good companies with large debt might benefit. He feels  Sintex and  Jain Irrigation might see gains.


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Kaaryah, a fashion portal offering clothing in 18 sizes

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 08 Maret 2015 | 10.54

On Young Turks Women's Day special meet Nidhi Agarwal and her fashion portal Kaaryah.com. Kaaryah.com claims to help women discover the perfect fit and variety of western wear for their wardrobes. Believing that one size cannot fit all, Kaaryah's entire range of clothing comes in 18 sizes especially designed for the Indian silhouette.

On Young Turks Women's Day special meet Nidhi Agarwal and her fashion portal Kaaryah.com. Kaaryah.com claims to help women discover the perfect fit and variety of western wear for their wardrobes. Believing that one size cannot fit all, Kaaryah's entire range of clothing comes in 18 sizes especially designed for the Indian silhouette.

Watch video for more.


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Young Turks: Meet one of India's few women VCs

On Young Turks Women's Day special meet Vani Kola of Kalaari Capital and Bharati Jacob of Seedfund Advisors who are two of the very few women VCs in India. Bharati and Vani reveal that most often what holds women back are their own demons.

On Young Turks Women's Day special meet Vani Kola of Kalaari Capital and Bharati Jacob of Seedfund Advisors who are two of the very few women VCs in India. Bharati and Vani reveal that most often what holds women back are their own demons. They strongly believe that women make great entrepreneurs and leaders and it is only a matter a time before women are better represented in the startup community in India.

Watch video for more.


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Wall St ends lower as jobs data may bring rate hike sooner

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 07 Maret 2015 | 10.54

US stocks closed lower on Friday and the S&P 500 declined for a second straight week after a strong monthly jobs report as investors bet that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates sooner than previously expected.

Some of the worst-hit stocks were utilities and real estate investment trusts as they are high-yielding investments which would look less attractive after a rate hike.

The S&P and the Dow, which accelerated their declines as the day wore on, were under additional pressure because they had hit records earlier in the week after a strong February.

US nonfarm payrolls rose 295,000 last month, topping estimates for a gain of 240,000, after a downwardly revised 239,000 increase in January. The unemployment rate fell to 5.5 percent from 5.7 percent in January.

The strong report, seen as a gauge for the timing of the Fed's first rate hike in years, may put pressure on the Fed to move soon, said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas.

"You have to think that report makes the likelihood of a June rate increase somewhat higher," said Frederick.

The S&P extended its losses as the session wore on having found little support after it fell below its two-week intraday low, according to Frank Cappelleri, technical market analyst at Instinet, a Nomura company, in New York.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 278.94 points, or 1.54 percent, to 17,856.78, the S&P 500 lost 29.78 points, or 1.42 percent, to 2,071.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 55.44 points, or 1.11 percent, to 4,927.37.

For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.6 percent while the Dow slid 1.5 percent and the Nasdaq dropped 0.7 percent. The S&P and the Dow both ended the day more than 2 percent lower than their March 2 records. The S&P saw its biggest percentage decline since early January on Friday.

In a shakeup of the Dow Jones industrial average, Apple Inc, the largest US company by market value, will join the index this month, replacing AT&T Inc. Apple shares rose 0.15 percent at USD 126.60 after rising as high as USD 129.37 while AT&T fell 1.5 percent to USD 33.48.

"If anything, what that should do is cause the Dow to be more volatile," said Schwab's Frederick, because the Dow is a price-weighted index and Apple has a higher share price than AT&T.

The utilities sector was the worst performing S&P 500 sector with a 3.1 percent decline and the Dow Jones Equity Reit Index finished off 3.2 percent.

About 7.2 billion shares changed hands on US exchanges, compared with the 6.4 billion average for the last five sessions, according to data from BATS Global Markets.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 2,683 to 438, for a 6.13-to-1 ratio on the downside; on the Nasdaq, 1,926 issues fell and 840 advanced for a 2.29-to-1 ratio favoring decliners.

The benchmark S&P 500 index posted 13 new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 67 new highs and 47 new lows.


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Indian ADRs: HDFC Bank down 2.5%, Tata Motors slips

Indian ADRs ended lower on Friday. ICICI Bank was down 1.3 percent and Tata Motors slipped 1.5 percent.

Indian ADRs ended lower on Friday. In the IT space, Infosys was down 0.7 percent at USD 35.24 and Wipro shed 0.73 percent at USD 13.60.

In the banking space, ICICI Bank was down 1.29 percent at USD 11.44 and HDFC Bank declined 2.49 percent at USD 61.86.

In the other sectors, Tata Motors slipped 1.55 percent at USD 47.70 and Dr Reddy's Laboratories fell 1.12 percent at USD 55.42.


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Dollar juiced up for jobs data, Nikkei hits a high

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 06 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The dollar held pole position in Asia on Friday as bulls wagered a looming US jobs report would add to the chance of rate hikes there, even as the European Central Bank embarks on a trillion euro campaign of bond-buying.

The same balance of risks kept most equity investors cautious with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan up a slim 0.2 percent.

Australia's main index dipped 0.4 percent, while Shanghai edged up 0.2 percent. The major exception was Japan's Nikkei which gained 1 percent to a fresh 15-year top after the yen weakened on the dollar.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect US payrolls to have increased 240,000 last month and the jobless rate to have ticked down to 5.6 percent from 5.7 percent.

The recent run of US economic news has been mixed at best, leading analysts to steadily downgrade forecasts for growth this quarter. A strong jobs report could offset all that and give the Fed reason to stick to its tightening timetable at the next policy meeting on March 17-18.

"Another healthy job gain, particularly if accompanied by another relatively firm gain in average hourly earnings, would go a long way toward solidifying expectations for "patient" being removed from the March statement and increasing the perceived odds of a rate hike in June," said Edward Acton, a Treasury strategist at RBS.

An upbeat jobs report would typically be positive for Wall Street, but the risk of an early hike may complicate the market's reaction.

Investors were playing it safe on Thursday with the Dow ending up a bare 0.21 percent, while the S&P 500 gained 0.12 percent and the Nasdaq 0.32 percent.

European markets had no such reservations as shares reached their highest in more than seven years, boosted by encouraging comments from the European Central Bank and strong results from supermarket Carrefour.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index ended Thursday up 0.8 percent.

ECB President Mario Draghi said the bank's bond-buying programme, due to start on Monday, may last beyond September 2016 if necessary. The bank also increased its economic growth forecasts for this year and next.

Draghi also surprised some by saying the central bank would be prepared to buy bonds with negative yields of up to 20 basis points, triggering a big rally in euro zone bonds.

With yield spreads widening in the dollar's favour, the euro broke below USD 1.1000 for the first time since September 2003, but has since drifted back to USD 1.1026.

Traders said the currency was vulnerable to a test of USD 1.0500, a trough seen in March 2003.

Against sterling, the common currency hovered just above a seven-year low of 72.18 pence. It also struggled at 132.50 yen, near its lowest in a month.

The dollar index traded at 96.332, having climbed as far as 96.593 - a high not seen since September 2003. It was also firm on the yen at 120.10 and held hefty gains on a broad range of emerging market currencies.

In commodity markets, US crude was quoted 36 cents firmer at USD 51.12, while Brent crude gained 37 cents to USD 60.85 a barrel.

Spot gold prices were little changed at USD 1,199.30 an ounce.


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Wall Street closes up slightly ahead of jobs report

US stocks closed modestly higher in light trading on Thursday as investors held back on big bets ahead of Friday's jobs report, which is expected to be a big factor in influencing the timing of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

Focus on the report was heightened as many investors see it as one of the most import economic indicators due to be released ahead of the Fed's meeting in mid-March.

"People are anticipating some fireworks tomorrow. That's the best way to describe the waiting today," said Paul Schatz, president and chief investment officer at Heritage Capital in Woodbridge, Connecticut.

The S&P and the Dow had hit records and the Nasdaq surpassed 5,000 at the start of the week after a strong February performance for US stocks, giving additional reason for investors to take a breather on Thursday.

European news was some help to US markets but higher-than-expected US jobless claims took "a little bit of the wind out of the sails," said Paul Brigandi, managing director of portfolio management at Direxion Funds in New York.

Initial jobless claims rose to 320,000 in the latest week, above the 295,000 estimate. The disappointing numbers came after a weaker-than-expected private payrolls report on Wednesday and ahead of Friday's monthly employment report.

A separate report showed new orders for US factory goods unexpectedly fell in January for a sixth month, a sign of weakness in the manufacturing sector.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 38.82 points, or 0.21 percent, to 18,135.72, the S&P 500 gained 2.51 points, or 0.12 percent, to 2,101.04 and the Nasdaq Composite added 15.67 points, or 0.32 percent, to 4,982.81.

Earlier in the day, the European Central Bank raised growth and inflation targets and announced it would start its government bond-buying program of 60 billion euros a month on March 9.

AbbVie said it would buy Pharmacyclics for about USD 21 billion, giving it access to what is expected to be one of the world's top-selling cancer drugs. Pharmacyclics shares jumped 10.3 percent to USD 254.22 while AbbVie fell 5.7 percent to USD 56.86.

The news also helped lift other healthcare stocks such as Vertex Pharmaceuticals, which closed up 5.8 percent at USD 126.96. Regeneron Pharmaceuticals added 3.8 percent to USD 428.95 and Biogen Idec rose 2.8 percent to USD 425.60.

About 5.7 billion shares changed hands on US exchanges, below the 6.5 billion average for the last five sessions, according to BATS Global Markets.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 1,660 to 1,371, for a 1.21-to-1 ratio; on the Nasdaq, 1,560 issues rose and 1,154 fell, for a 1.35-to-1 ratio favoring advancers.

The S&P 500 posted 21 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 97 new highs and 42 new lows.


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Aban Offshore's subsidiaries redeem outstanding bonds

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 05 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Aban Offshore Ltd has informed BSE that "Deep Drilling 7 Pte Ltd and Deep Drilling 8 Pte Ltd" wholly owned step-down subsidiaries of the Company, have redeemed the outstanding bonds issued by them having an aggregate principal amount of USD 216 Million [equivalent to INR 1,335 Crores] alongwith accrued interest on the due date (i.e) March 5, 2015.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Aban Offshore


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Dewan Housing approves allotment of 1.69cr equity shares to QIBs

Dewan Housing Finance Corporation at its meeting held on March 04, 2015 approved the issue and allotment of 1,69,31,102 Equity Shares of face value Rs 10 each to Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIB) at a price of Rs 478.18 per Equity Share (including share premium of Rs. 468.18 per Equity Share) aggregating to Rs 809,61,14,354.

Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd has informed BSE that the Finance Committee of the Company at its meeting held on March 04, 2015 approved the issue and allotment of 1,69,31,102 Equity Shares of face value Rs. 10 each to Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIB) at a price of Rs. 478.18 per Equity Share (including share premium of Rs. 468.18 per Equity Share) aggregating to Rs. 809,61,14,354 (Rupees Eight Hundred Nine Crore, Sixty One Lakh, Fourteen Thousand, Three Hundred And Fifty Four only).Consequent to the allotment of the Equity Shares to QIBs. the paid-up equity share capital of the Company stands increased from Rs. 128,74,56,400/- divided into 12,87,45,640 equity shares of face value of Rs. 10/- each to Rs. 145,67,67,420 divided into 14,56,76,742 equity shares of face value of Rs. 10/- each.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Dewan Housing

To read the full report click here


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7 reasons why RBI cut by repo rate 25 bps pre-Apr 7 policy

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 04 Maret 2015 | 10.54

By cutting the repo rate, the RBI has shown faith in the fiscal consolidation measures outlined by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley in the Union Budget on Saturday

Moneycontrol Bureau

The RBI Wednesday surprised market with a 25 basis point cut in repo rate to 7.5 percent from 7.75 percent. By doing so, it has shown faith in the fiscal consolidation measures outlined by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley in the Union Budget on Saturday.

Including the 25 basis point cut in repo rate in January, the RBI has now cut rates by 50 basis in 2015.

Seven reasons why the RBI chose to cut repo rate ahead of the credit policy on April 7:

(Excerpts from the RBI statement)

* January inflation at 5.1 per cent was well within the target of 8 per cent for January 2015. Vegetable prices declined and inflation excluding food and fuel moderated.

* There are many important and valuable structural reforms embedded in this Budget, which will help improve supply over the medium term

* The government has emphasized its desire to clean up legacy issues which gave a misleading picture of the true extent of fiscal rectitude, and has
also moderated the optimism in its projections.

* Government is transferring a significantly larger amount to the states. To the extent that state budget deficits narrow, the general fiscal deficit will be lower

* Supported by lower international energy prices, there is a welcome intent to shift from spending on subsidies to spending on infrastructure, and to better target and further reduce subsidies through direct transfers

* Government has signed a inflation targeting memorandum with RBI. This makes explicit that government and RBI have common objectives and that fiscal and monetary policy will work in a complementary way

* The rupee has remained strong relative to peer countries


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Record high: Sensex hits 30000, Nifty at 9100 on RBI move

The Reserve Bank of India signaled that it was convinced by the fiscal consolidation measures announced in the Budget. The RBI has kept the cash reserve ratio (CRR) unchanged at 4 percent.

09:15

Moneycontrol Bureau The market has opened at record high after Reserve Bank of India, in a surprise move, cut repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5 percent. The Sensex is up 407.43 points or 1.4 percent at 30001.16, and the Nifty is up 112.90 points or 1 percent at 9109.15. About 533 shares have advanced, 94 shares declined, and 93 shares are unchanged.

The Reserve Bank of India signaled that it was convinced by the fiscal consolidation measures announced in the Budget. The RBI has kept the cash reserve ratio (CRR) unchanged at 4 percent.

"Disinflation is evolving along the path set out by the Reserve Bank in January 2014 and, in fact, at a faster pace than earlier envisaged," the RBI said in its statement for the reasons behind the rate cut. This is the second out of turn 25 basis point-cut after the one in January.

It is a celebration time for the bank stocks with major gainers like SBI, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank and HDFC. M&M is also up 2 percent. Among the losers are Dr Reddy's Labs, GAIL and Wipro.

The Indian rupee opened higher by 26 paise at 61.66 per dollar.  

Himanshu Arora of Religare said, "The USD-INR pair is expected to strengthen today amid persistent upside in dollar against a basket of currencies and will continue to react to India's January fiscal deficit surpassing the full year target. However, upside to the dollar may remain capped as German Parliament approves Greek bailout extension. The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in the range of 61.76-62.18/dollar."

The dollar hovered below an 11-year high versus a basket of major currencies, as investors await US economic data and a European Central Bank meeting later this week for fresh direction clues.


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Sun Pharma to buy GSK's opiates biz in Australia

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 03 Maret 2015 | 10.54

The transaction is expected to close by August 2015.

India's largest pharma company by market capitilisation  Sun Pharma is likely to buy  GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Pharma's opiates business in Australia. GSK's opiates business portfolio includes materials used in analgesics. Sun said GSK's opiates business and portfolio of products will get transferred to company's arm.

The transaction is expected to close by August 2015. 

Reacting to the news, pharma analyst Surajit Pal of Prabhudas Lilladher said the move is a positive for Sun Pharma's opiates business though it does not generate significant revenue for the company.

Pal recommends accumulating the stock for now.

Below is verbatim transcript of Surajit Pal's interview with Latha Venkatesh, Ekta Batra and Sonia Shenoy on CNBC-TV18.

Sonia: Can you make sense of this information and how much of a positive or negative it would be for Sun Pharma?

A: I think this is positive for Sun Pharma's control substance business because it has become a non-starter despite the fact that they have acquired one company in Europe and have put up plants in US. They have also bought some of the licenses in the US to run this control substance business.

However, despite having spent so much of money for last six years this control substance business could not take much of significant revenue for the company. So, company might be looking to get a better volume expanding into other part of the world.

Latha: Is control substance a pain killer something like Morphine?

A: Anything which is related to opium kind of things.

Ekta: How big an acquisition would this be for Sun Pharma? How much cash do they have on books?

A: Control substance business is not a big business always for a company as far as companies like GSK. Generally, control substance business is utilised for pain killing as well as CNS products.

Ekta: This is for Australia in particular so this wouldn't be for the US?

A: The problem in control substance business is that export-import is absolutely known because it comes under huge observation of the state bodies. So, I believe it won't be that great, I think USD 200-250 million kind of revenue would be possible.

Ekta: Cash on books would be around USD 2 billion for Sun Pharma?

A: Yes USD 2 billion.

Latha: Would it be more likely an all-cash purchase?

A: Yes.

Ekta: How would you rate the acquisition for Sun Pharma from a strategic point of view?

A: Given the Sun Pharma focus is always on maintaining high margin, opium business is basically into that direction.

Sun Pharma stock price

On March 03, 2015, at 09:24 hrs Sun Pharmaceutical Industries was quoting at Rs 937.55, up Rs 13.70, or 1.48 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 965.90 and the 52-week low was Rs 552.50.


The latest book value of the company is Rs 35.77 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 26.21.


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Here are top 10 stocks to keep an eye on March 3

Mar 03, 2015, 09.03 AM IST | Source: CNBC-TV18

Here are top 10 stocks to focus on March 3 - NCC, Voltas, Sun Pharma, Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular, Hero Moto, M&M, TVS Motors, Bank Nifty and Hotel Leela.

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video of the day

Budget 2015-16: Revive capex through savings on cheap crude says Kotak Sec


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Royal Enfield sales jump 49% in February

Written By Unknown on Senin, 02 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Domestic sales also surged 49 percent to 29,491 units last month from 19,840 units in February 2014, the company said in a statement.

Two-wheeler maker Royal Enfield reported 49 percent jump in total sales in February this year at 30,240 units against 20,343 units in the year-ago period.

Domestic sales also surged 49 percent to 29,491 units last month from 19,840 units in February 2014, the company said in a statement.

Exports during the month stood at 749 units against 503 units last year.

Eicher Motors stock price

On March 02, 2015, at 09:22 hrs Eicher Motors was quoting at Rs 16540.00, up Rs 313.40, or 1.93 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 17200.00 and the 52-week low was Rs 5002.90.


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 206.19 per share as per the quarter ended December 2014. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 80.22. The latest book value of the company is Rs 509.21 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 32.48.


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Nifty races towards 8950, Sensex firm; Banks up, ITC falls

Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, ONGC and HDFC Bnak are top gainers while Tata Power, ITC, Bharti Airtel and TCS are major laggards in the Sensex.

09:15

Moneycontrol Bureau After closing strong on Budget day, the market has once again opened firmly on Monday. The Sensex is up 177.98 points or 0.6 percent at 29539.48 and the Nifty is up 52.75 points or 0.6 percent at 8954.60.

About 439 shares have advanced, 89 shares declined, and 102 shares are unchanged.

Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, ONGC and HDFC Bnak are top gainers while Tata Power, ITC, Bharti Airtel and TCS are major laggards in the Sensex.

The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 61.89 per dollar versus 61.83 Friday.

The euro trades around fresh one-month lows early in a subdued start to the week, while an interest rate cut in China over the weekend gives commodity currencies only a slight boost.

Agam Gupta of Standard Chartered said," There has been dollar strength overnight. The Budget impact on the currency will be muted though there could be some short-term disappointment from the fiscal deficit target being higher than market expectations."

Among global markets, in the US, stocks posted gains of 5 percent or more in February, despite closing modestly lower on Friday amid lackluster data and oil gains.

Asian stocks kicked off the week mostly higher as interest rate cut in China on Saturday offset a weaker finish on Wall Street on Friday. The People's Bank of China cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.35 percent and reduced the benchmark saving rate by a similar margin to 2.5 percent.

In commodities, Nymex crude trades below the USD 50 per barrel while Brent crude is steady above USD 62 per barrel. From precious metals space, gold prices rise to USD 1215 an ounce but gains are capped given a steady dollar.


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Economic Survey

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 01 Maret 2015 | 10.54

Published on Sat, Feb 28,2015 | 22:38, Updated at Sat, Feb 28 at 22:38Source : Moneycontrol.com 

The Economic Survey for 2014-15 has painted an optimistic picturefor India, pegging the FY16 GDP growth at 8.1-8.5%. Ranen Banerjee, Partner (Public Finance and Urban) at PwC India shares his views and analysis..

Economic Survey

Despite the decline in the rate of gross domestic saving from 33.9% of the GDP in 2011-12 to 30.6% in 2013-14 and in the rate of investment from 38.2% in 2011-12 to 32.3% in 2013-14 and the decline in the primary sectors particularly agriculture from 3.7% to 1.1%, Survey remains optimistic about achieving a growth of 8.1-8.5% in the next year as against the existing 7.4%. It has kept the hope of achieving double digit growth in the medium term with high probability. While survey admits that the previous year's growth was almost purely a domestic demand driven growth, it is not understood how a declining primary sector, unless the rain revives it, would provide the much needed demand for the manufacturing sector in this stagnating external environment. The optimism in economic survey rests not just on the anticipated revival of animal spirits in manufacturing and services sectors thrust by Government's reform agenda and public investment (particularly in railways), but also from benign macro-economic conditions, fuel prices, inflation and favourable monsoons. Global fuel prices have become such volatile to pin the hopes of an economy!

Survey also puts a great deal of emphasis on reviving investments to achieve the growth path. Survey estimates that the total stock of stalled projects stands at Rs. 8.8 lakh crore or 7% of GDP. Survey presumes that an easing of monetary policy on the back of benign macro economic conditions can remove the credit constraints facing the private sector, while speedy regulatory clearances and reorientation and restructuring of the PPP model would enhance public investment. It is worth mentioning that NPAs of the banking sector have increased from 4.1 % in March 2014 to 4.5 % in September 2014 in just two quarters. Further five subsectors, viz. Infrastructure, Textiles, Iron & Steel, Mining and Aviation hold 54% of total stressed advances of Public Sector Banks. Revival of investments depends also to a great extent on the banks' ability to reschedule some of these NPAs and in tapping alternative sources of financing. Survey has rightly emphasised the need for "skilling India" for "Make in India" to happen and cautions that Indian growth should balance the nation's comparative advantage in availability of low skilled labour with skill development required by future generations to take advantage of lost opportunities. Expanding the manufacturing sector to tap in the unskilled labour can only be wished for and is a distant possibility.

Survey is optimistic about achieving targeted fiscal deficits in the coming years. While fuel subsidies have come down, the food subsidy bill (upto January, 2015) stands at a whopping Rs. 107,823 crore during 2014-15 (or almost 1% of the GDP), showing an increase of 20% over previous year - the highest ever growth in the past five years.  This year also, as in previous years, the Survey has stood against price and product subsidies which are regressive in nature, benefitting mostly the richer amongst the poor and instead voted for income transfers. Survey has put its weight behind the JAM Number Trinity-Jan Dhan Yojana, Aadhaar and Mobile numbers- that would allow the State to deliver the subsidies to poor in a targeted and less distorted manner.

It is refreshing to see that for creation of National Common Market in Agricultural Commodities, survey has gone to the extent of suggesting liberalization in FDI in retail (which could create possibilities for filling in the massive investment and infrastructure deficit in supply chain inefficiencies), along with modification to the APMC controls through constitutional amendments.   

We eagerly await the budget announcements to see if any of the levers indicated by the Survey are being pushed by the Government.


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Round table: Experts dissect Jaitley's Budget 2015

Amid many hopes, the Narendra Modi government today delivered its first full Budget that experts said carried several ideas that would kickstart growth, drive investment and boost infrastructure even though according to many, it fell short of being called as a 'big bang' Budget.

To obtain a consummate view on the Budget and the announcements therein, CNBC-TV18's Shereen Bhan spoke with a star panel of guests.

"For me, the Budget was about the plug-and-play model," veteran investment banker Ashok Wadhwa of Ambit said, referring to Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's announcement that the government would set up four ultra mega power plants using the model in which it would clear all prior permissions before handing it over to an interested party.

Beyond the plug-and-play model, which the government has indicated it is keen to expand beyond the four UMPPs, the government led a definite thrust on boosting India's creaky infrastructure, increasing as much as Rs 70,000 crore in public investments.

"The outlay for roads is three times. The provision for railways is starkly higher," former Infosys VP and Manipal Group chairman Mohandas Pai said. "Once there are improvements in the supply chain, we will see a tremendous improvement in productivity," he added.

In order to be able to invest more into infrastructure, FM Jaitley had to compromise a bit on the fiscal deficit, outlining that the deficit for the next year would fall from 4.1 percent this year to 3.9 percent next, higher than the 3.6 percent estimated earlier.

But even as the FM has presented a credible fiscal consolidation roadmap, aiming to reduce it to 3 percent in three years, Goldman Sachs MD Tushar Poddar pointed out that the deficit picture combined for states and centre stood at a high 6 percent.

"Even if the deficit had been kept at 3.6 percent, India's state plus central deficit combined would still have been higher than 70 percent of its peers," ratings firm Moody's Senior VP Atsi Sheth pointed out.

"However, the number is not that important. [What is important is] there is a roadmap. Policies that underpin the Budget [need to be seen]," she added.

The Budget strikes a pragmatic balance between deficit and growth, ICICI Bank MD and CEO Chanda Kochhar, observed. "Initial public investment is required to kickstart the investment cycle."

If infrastructure was one theme, the second one was tax, where the Budget outlined several major changes.

"India has never had a more stable tax policy. The Budget clearly explained what the government thinks on tax policy," Sudhir Kapadia, National Tax Leader, Ernst & Young, said.

Among the key decisions, the FM today announced reduction in the corporate tax rate from 30 percent currently to 25 percent over four years starting FY17, while at the same time phasing out the discretionary tax exemptions that are granted to various industries.

"Also, the 15 percent tax projections made in the Budget is realistic," Kapadia said, adding that it would result in less pressure on tax officials who have in the past been accused of being too aggressive in order to achieve stiff targets.

"Absolutely, tax terrorism will end," Pai, indicating to the slew of tax disputes that have arisen over the past few years, said.

But Goldman's Tushar Poddar pointed out that the government still needs to widen its direct tax base and the Budget did not announce any robust steps to do that. India's tax-collections-to-GDP ratio stands at an abysmal 17 percent, lower than Kenya and Namibia.

On the issue of black money, the FM's decision to introduce strict laws to counter the menace of black money was criticized strongly by Congress spokesperson Anand Sharma, who said laws such as the PMLA and FEMA were enough to tackle the issue, and pointed to the fact a Supreme Court-monitored probe into black money was already under way on the basis of current laws, which needed to be enforced well.

Pai agreed with Sharma's view and added that given the proposed laws draconian appearance, they could give rise to harassment.

But Ashok Wadhwa differed, saying the compliances that the proposed laws required, it would "take a very brave man" to evade taxes.

Finally, Supreme Court Senior Advocate Harish Salve said the government's decision to devolve 62 percent of taxes to states was a game-changer. "It is a truly federal budget."

But Congress' Sharma pointed out that the 14th Finance Commission -- whose devolution recommendation the NDA government accepted – was appointed by the UPA government.

He further pointed out that the Budget had slashed majorly from plan expenditure and the central assistance to states, and attacked the devolution claim by saying that the Swacch Bharat and clean energy cess would go to centre and not cess.

"It is an anti-poor Budget. Allocations for women, SC, ST and even on education have come down," he said.


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